Fertility Rate vs GDP Per Capita

The demographic-economic paradox

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One of the most consistent patterns in demography: as countries get richer, people have fewer children. This is known as the demographic transition. Wealthier nations see lower fertility due to better access to contraception, higher education levels, urbanization, and the shift from children as economic assets to economic costs.

GDP Per Capita (USD) vs Fertility Rate (births/woman)

213 countries with available data

Correlation (r)

-0.418

Moderate negative

Countries

213

with both indicators

Avg GDP Per Capita

$23k

global average

Avg Fertility Rate

2.4

global average

Key Insight

Nearly every country with GDP/capita above $20,000 has a fertility rate below replacement level (2.1). Sub-Saharan Africa remains the notable exception with high fertility despite varying income levels.

Regional Averages

RegionCountriesAvg GDP Per CapitaAvg Fertility Rate
Africa
54$3k3.9
Asia
48$17k2.2
Europe
47$51k1.4
Americas
45$25k1.8
Oceania
19$17k2.7